摘要: |
中日韩3国水产品贸易联系紧密,日韩是中国水产品出口的重要市场。本文根据联合国商品贸易数据库2001~2012年的数据,在比较中国水产品对日韩出口现状的前提下,利用CMS模型对中国水产品出口日韩的增长进行实证研究。研究结果表明,日韩市场对水产品需求的增长是促进中国水产品出口的最关键因素,中国水产品对日出口的“产品结构效应”和“综合竞争力效应”高于对韩出口,但对这两个市场出口的“产品竞争力效应”和“交叉效应”不明显。本文在实证研究结果的基础上,提出了相应的政策建议。 |
关键词: 水产品 日韩市场 出口增长 CMS模型 |
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An Empirical Study on the Export Growth of China’s Aquatic Products in Japan and South Korea |
YANG Feng-min,ZHANG Ning |
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Abstract: |
China, Japan and South Korea have a close relationship in aquatic products trade. Japan and South Korea are both China’s important export markets. Based on the data of UN Comtrade Database from 2001 to 2012, the paper compares the trade status of China’s aquatic products exported to Japan with those exported to South Korea, and then use the CMS model to figure out the factors that influence the volume growth of the aquatic products of China exported to Japan and South Korea. The results show that, the increasing demand of Japan and South Korea is the main factor that promotes the export growth of China’s aquatic products. The product structure effect and the comprehensive competitiveness effect of China’s aquatic products in Japan market are higher than in South Korea, while the product competitiveness effect and cross effect are not obvious in the two markets. Based on the results of empirical research, the corresponding policy recommendations are given. |
Key words: aquatic products Japanese and South Korean markets export growth CMS model |