| 摘要: |
| 本文使用1997~2014 年36 个样本国家和地区的服务贸易数据，在理论分析的基础上
借助双对数多元回归模型，从我国服务贸易进口复杂度变化的角度，探讨我国服务
贸易进口技术结构变迁途径及其影响因素，发现：样本期内，我国服务贸易进口技
术结构所呈现的倒金字塔型未被打破，传统服务贸易仍占主导地位；总体来看，经
济发展水平、基础设施、对外开放度、人力资本与服务贸易进口复杂度正相关，自
然资源禀赋“诅咒”不存在于服务贸易进口复杂度中，外商直接投资具有不显著的
反向抑制作用，但其与人力资本的交互项显著为正；各因素对不同服务贸易部门进
口复杂度的影响存在差异。 |
| 关键词: 服务贸易 进口技术结构变迁 进口复杂度 影响因素 |
| DOI： |
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| 基金项目:安徽省高校人文社科研究重点项目“安徽省服务进口技术结构变迁及经济效应研究”(项目编号:SK2016A0019)；2015省级质量工程“省级名师工作室”(项目编号:2015msgzs137)；安徽财经大学校级重点教学研究项目“‘国际贸易’课程教学资源库的建设与开发研究”(项目编号:acjyzd201631)。 |
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| A Study on the Change of Technology Structure and Its Influencing Factors of Services Trade in China |
| WAN Hong-xian,WANG Lin-hong |
|
| Abstract: |
| On the basis of theoretical analysis, using the double logarithmic regression model with the services trade data of 36 sample countries and regions in 1997~2014, this paper analyses the change of import technology structure and its influencing factors of China’s services trade from the import sophistication standpoint. The results demonstrate that: firstly, during the sample period, the inverted pyramid structure of China’s services trade import technology has not been broken, the traditional service is still dominated. Secondly, there is a positive correlation between the level of economic development, infrastructure, openness, human capital and the import sophistication of services trade. The natural resource endowment curse does not exist in the import sophistication of services trade, foreign direct investment has insignificant reverse inhibition, but its interaction with human capital is significantly positive. Last but not the least, the influence of each factor on the import sophistication of different services trade sectors is different. |
| Key words: services trade the change of import technology structure import sophistication influencing factor |
